← GG Alchemical Revolution Store Championship
Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at GG Alchemical Revolution Store Championship
decks
2
(15.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-4-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.9%
avg ELO -2.4 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1281
· median 1281
· range 1217–1345
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1197
Q3 1345
1517
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 23.1% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 34.5% | -9.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 15.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -3.1 |
| Water Allies | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.6 |
| Fire Lorraine | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
